- "Democracy… Is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch. Liberty… Is a well-armed lamb… http://t.co/sDaQK73m #
Real Estate – The way I see it 2012-02-21
Real Estate – The way I see it 2012-02-20
- Crystal Ball or good probability? Election year hype? Maybe! http://t.co/2tSC6wo3 #
- The Presidents Housing Plan "To Recover, Rebalance, and Rebuild" http://t.co/hvJ2PmjI #
- ''Friendship is a plant of slow growth and must undergo and withstand the shocks of adversity before it is… http://t.co/QBqk5Etq #
Real Estate – The way I see it 2012-02-19
- Planning to visit any open house today? http://t.co/sZTFFC6M #
To Short Sell or Not To Short Sell?
Currently 63% of all MLS listed homes in Fresno and Clovis are considered distressed properties. The term distressed are properties that are either in pre-foreclosure (short sales), meaning they have defaulted on their mortgage and the lender has filed a notice-of-default (NOD), or the lender has already completed the foreclosure and the property is now considers real estate owned (REO) meaning the lender now owns the property.
Pre-foreclosure properties are listed on the Fresno MLS as short sales. A few years ago the number of short sales in Fresno and Clovis were near zero, and REO properties dominated the market, but as home owners continued to default on their mortgages, the option of short selling became much more practical. Homeowners that choose to short sell their home, are finding that it’s more strategic to exit their homeownership with a short sale verses foreclosure, largely because of the lesser negative impact on their credit allowing them to return to the housing market sooner.
Lenders were originally slow and even unwilling to allow a homeowner to shot sell their home, but as the housing market continued to struggle, they have begun to see the cost savings in allow homeowners to sell short verses foreclosing. Yes, the lenders are still on the losing side of the transaction, but the typical homeowner short selling their home, leaves the home in much better condition than a foreclosed home, and with the short sale transaction, the home is seldom left vacant, creating less distress and keeping sale price higher.
Below I have a data table showing the percentages for MLS listings in the month January 2012. If you scan across the data on the table you’ll see that 53% of the active listings are traditional home sales, meaning they are still current with their mortgage payments and have not defaulted. Again as you scan across you’ll see that 37% of the properties sold were traditional sales, showing that there are still homeowners selling that are not underwater. When you drop down to the short sale line, you’ll see that 29% are listed as short sales and 54% are pending, but only 21% are actually closed or sold as short sales. This is improving, but there are still large percentages that fail to get approval from the lender and eventually fall to foreclosure.
|
Active Listings · Traditional: 53% · REO: 18% · Short Sale: 29% |
Pending Listings · Traditional: 23% · REO: 23% · Short Sale: 54% |
Sold MTD · Traditional: 37% · REO: 34% · Short Sale: 21% |
A good argument to convince lenders to approve a short sale is the sale price. I have also included a bar graph showing traditional, REO and short sales median and average prices. As you scan across the graph you’ll see that short sales are nearly the same as traditional sales in both median and average price, whereas REO’s are below in both. When negotiating a short sale with a lender this could be a point of leverage in getting an approval.

Even with this information about short sale verses foreclosure, I’m still finding homeowners that are underwater and in default on their homes mortgage, but choose not to short sell and allow the lender to foreclose. Lender are preferring the short sale attempt before proceeding with their option to foreclosure, but homeowners are still choosing to live in the home until evicted. This is at a huge cost on their future credit rating, that could be thousands of dollars yearly in higher interests on credit and even being denied employment if they require certain security clearances. The option to short sale is in my opinion the best of a worst situation. It reduces short and long term credit loss and has a lesser blemish on credit reports, and in some situation has allowed these former homeowners to return to homeownership in as little as two-years verses 7 to 10 with a foreclosure.
If you or anyone you know needs assistance with a short sale, please have them contact me. I would love to help!
January Home Sales – Fresno & Clovis
The foreclosure (REO) inventory has really seen a considerable drop and pre-foreclosure (short sales) are still rising in numbers. This is as lenders seem to be approving short sales at a higher rate and seeing the value of selling before foreclosing. As many of us have seen, once a home is foreclosed on it quickly become a distressed property and loses value. Because short sales go directly from one owner to the next, the properties condition tends to be better. Of the 466 January sales: 38% were foreclosures and 25% were short sales for a combined 63% leaving 37% as traditional home sales. Yes there are still traditional sales!
That was my optimistic view – now on my pessimistic side. Since December 1st of 2011 there have been more that 500 expired short sales that have neither re-listed nor closed in a sale. So I believe we will be seeing an increase in trustee sales soon and a rise in foreclosure inventory. Not a huge rise, but there will be some coming and hopefully quickly so they don’t become distressed.
If you or someone you know is looking to buy or sell I would appreciate the call and opportunity to assist!
January 2012 – Short Sales
As January flies by, I thought I would update you on Short Sale stats for Fresno and Madera Counties. Month-to-date, 664 (28%) of the 2,400 active MLS listings are listed as short sales, 119 (51%) are pending, and 87 (21%) short sales have sold month-to-date. Short sale property transactions have been trending up over the few last years as foreclosures have been declining. This is as the lenders realize their cost saving when allowing short selling verses going through the foreclosure process. This also comes as a savings to homeowners needing to sell their homes. A homeowner that has decided to let their home go into default, and chooses to short sell their home sees a lesser impact to their credit score and will hopefully be back in homeownership in as little as two years.
If you have any questions about the short sales or pre-foreclosure process, feel free to contact me.
January 2012 Market Update – Fresno/Clovis
There are only 1,499 active listings in Fresno and Clovis and this in a market that normally has 2,500 plus homes listed. At our current sales rate this is just slightly more than a two-month supply of homes. Of those 1,499 homes, 47% are short sales and foreclosed properties (31% short sales and 16% foreclosed).
With our current low supply and strong demand, I’m seeing multiple offers on many homes causing higher sale prices. If you’re thinking of selling, things are getting better, and if you’re thinking about buying, you really should act before you end up paying more.
Hope to hear from you soon!
December 2011 Fresno/Madera Real Estate Stats
Another year is in the books, and as with most Realtors in Fresno we are seeing the market improving. Month after month in 2011 the local market has out sold the previous year. In December 2011 there were 910 homes sold and compared to 864 in 2010 and as for the year-to-date numbers, 2011 was the second best home sales year in the last ten years. Of course this is in terms of homes sold, not dollars sold. The chart below shows the three best years in homes sold along with 2001 as reference to price. While we have seen property values decline since the market high back in 2005/2006, when we compare them to 2001 our current median and average home sale price looks good.
|
Year |
Sold |
Median |
Average |
|
2009 |
11,291 |
$142,000 |
$162,767 |
|
2011 |
10,762 |
$136,900 |
$157,137 |
|
2005 |
10,184 |
$280,000 |
$310,780 |
|
2001 |
7,134 |
$116,500 |
$134,308 |
Short Sales and foreclosures are still a big factor in our local market and will continue through 2012 and most likely 2013 too. The bright side here is that foreclosures have been declining over the last couple off years while short sales have increased. The good factor is homeowners are leaving on better terms with less negative personal financial impact that will allow them to come back into the home ownership market within two-years. In December 45% of the active listing, 75% of the pending sales and 57% of the homes sold were short sale or foreclosed homes.
I’m see and hearing good things for 2012. We never felt the typical seasonal slowdown at the end of the year and January has started off running. The only down side is we need more homes to sell. The current MLS for active listings is less than 2,000 which means we working with a two-month supply, and that’s not much to work with. The upside to this is the “law of supply and demand” is starting to move home prices upward again and homeowners are beginning to feel less underwater. Again the downside is that if you’re sitting on the fence about buying, you’ll need to choose a side soon and jump off, otherwise you’ll be paying more … they are at the bottom!
Hope my rambling helps and if you have any questions or real estate needs just ask. I’d love to help!
